Systematic, evidence-based investing. Built on price action, validated by 20 years of data, refined through 50+ months of live execution.
In India, earnings season plays a far less critical role in driving stock market returns than in the US. India's market is driven primarily by price action and momentum — not quarterly earnings surprises.
Expanding corporate profits over decades creates broad optimism, but short-term returns are explained overwhelmingly by relative price strength and rate of change — not fundamental reassessments.
This is the core insight behind Tq iDeA$: by focusing purely on price momentum from the Nifty 750, we eliminate noise and focus on what actually predicts near-to-medium term equity returns in India.
The model is built on monthly rate-of-change — giving each idea enough time to develop, while avoiding the over-churn that destroys alpha in most active strategies.
Reference: The impact of earnings season on returns — LiveMint. Market efficiency considerations apply.
India's equity returns show low correlation to quarterly earnings beats. Price momentum is the dominant factor.
12-month price rate-of-change reliably identifies stocks with sustained institutional accumulation.
Monthly signals capture trend changes without reacting to short-term volatility or market noise.
As monthly observations grow, performance converges to the true mean — reducing outlier dependency.
A four-stage funnel from 750 stocks to 7–12 high-conviction positions — executed with discipline, reviewed monthly.
Consistent drawdowns. Improving win rates. Live performance aligning with and exceeding backtested expectations.
There are no assured returns in equity investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The iDeA$ methodology powers two models — one high-octane, one measured — both following the same disciplined monthly process.
Why ₹5 Cr vs MF's ₹275 Cr avg? Most small cap mutual funds average ₹275 Cr per stock across ~100 stock portfolios. Tq iDeA$ averages ₹5–7 Cr per stock in a 7–12 stock portfolio — ensuring genuine liquidity in entry and exit. Orders exceeding 20% of daily volume are managed via market protection orders.
Every structural decision in iDeA$ is built with risk containment in mind — not as an afterthought.
"When you trade longer, you only need to be right 51% of the time — build superior returns with a data-driven model that has consistently generated ~50% live CAGR, outperforming India's top funds through a disciplined, monthly rebalanced Nifty 750 portfolio."